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RealTime Economic Issues Watch

A website forum in which senior fellows of the Peterson Institute for International Economics discuss and debate their responses to global economic and financial developments as they occur each day and offer insights that others might overlook.

Global Financial Crisis

Views on the current crisis in global financial markets, their impact on the real economy and the public policy choices confronting the United States and other countries.

Assessing the Tragedy of the Pakistan Floods

by Mohsin S. Khan and Shuja Nawaz | August 26th, 2010 | 04:06 pm

The floods in Pakistan have affected one-fifth of the country (an area roughly the size of England) and engulfed large parts of all four provinces—Punjab, Balochistan, Sindh, and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (formerly the North West Frontier Province). The vast scope of the damage makes this a truly national disaster bearing long-term economic [...]

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India’s Growth Paradox

by Arvind Subramanian | August 17th, 2010 | 04:42 pm

On August 15, India celebrated 63 years of independence. Many hail it as an economic powerhouse but also point to the lopsidedness of its growth. Despite being home to some of the world’s leading technology companies, poverty is still widespread, physical and social infrastructure still woefully inadequate, employment opportunities still [...]

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The Sun Is Rising in the East

by Anders Aslund | August 11th, 2010 | 05:00 pm

What hand wringing there has been recently on both sides of the Atlantic as the major European economies pursue austerity in their budgets and social programs! But is it not overdone? Europeans and Americans need only look east—to the European Union’s new eastern members—to see that austerity can deliver growth and [...]

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The EU Stress Tests and the Experience in Spain

by Angel Ubide | July 29th, 2010 | 09:00 am

In the days following publication by the European Union of the long-awaited stress tests of its banking sector, the market reaction—judged by the evolution of the euro, bank stocks, and peripheral spreads—has looked positive. This makes sense. The hundreds of pages of analysis of the impact of the stress tests [...]

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The “Shamed Seven” EU Banks Open Their Books

by Jacob Funk Kirkegaard | July 28th, 2010 | 01:53 pm

On Monday, July 26, a memorable exercise in market power and the power of persuasion of those who favor financial market transparency took place. It came in the form of the last 7 remaining EU banks out of the total of 91 participating in the stress test reluctantly releasing [...]

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