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Op-ed Let the Bank of England Take Note: The Risks of Raising Interest Rates Too Soon Are Greater than Inflation Overshooting
David G. Blanchflower — September 30, 2014
David G. Blanchflower summarizes Chicago Federal Reserve Bank president Charles Evan's speech on the costs of being mired in the zero lower bound.

North Korea: Witness to Transformation North Korea's Cell Phone Growth in Context
Kevin Stahler — September 30, 2014
In an earlier post on the ongoing IT transformation in North Korea, we noted a recent story from North Korea Tech reporting Koryolink’s latest cell phone subscription figures ...

News Release C. Fred Bergsten Named Swedish American of the Year
September 29, 2014
Washington—The Peterson Institute for International Economics is pleased to announce that its founding director, C. Fred Bergsten, was named The Swedish American of the Year for 2014. The award was presented by the Vasa Order of America, the ...

China Economic Watch China Chart of the Week: Foreign Investors Flock to Services
Ryan Rutkowski — September 26, 2014
Last week, China’s Ministry of Commerce (MOFCOM) reported that foreign direct investment inflows slowed to $78 billion in the first eight months of this year compared with $80 billion in the same period last year as inflows in August fell to their lowest level in four years. The decline has created ...

audio Peterson Perspectives Interview Why Wage Rates are Stagnating Despite Falling Unemployment
David G. Blanchflower — September 23, 2014
David G. Blanchflower discusses his research with Adam S. Posen demonstrating that lower jobless rates are masking the problem of people outside the official labor force who are still looking for work.

Working Paper 14-6 Wages and Labor Market Slack: Making the Dual Mandate Operational [pdf]
David G. Blanchflower and Adam S. Posen — September 23, 2014
David G. Blanchflower and Adam S. Posen assess the impact of changes in the US labor force participation rate and show that nonparticipants exert additional downward pressure on wages over and above the impact of the unemployment rate itself.

Op-ed Wages Fall as the Mystery of the British and American Job Markets Gets Deeper Still
David G. Blanchflower — September 23, 2014
A combination of increased underemployment and nonparticipation in the labor force is exerting downward wage pressure, resulting in flat real wages in the United States and an 8–10 percent decrease in the United Kingdom since May 2010.

RealTime Economic Issues Watch Ten Lessons from the Scottish Referendum
Jacob Funk Kirkegaard — September 23, 2014
The 55 percent majority that rejected Scottish independence was perhaps not so lopsided as to banish all Scottish nationalist dreams of another vote someday. But it was more decisive than many opinion polls had predicted. At least 10 lessons can be drawn from the process. ...

RealTime Economic Issues Watch Mapping Europe's Banking System: Most Small Banks Are German
Nicolas Véron — September 22, 2014
A well-known limitation of Europe's banking union is the fact that most banks in the euro area will escape the direct supervision of the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Single Resolution Board that will address insolvent banks next year. Indeed, the ECB's ...

China Economic Watch China Chart of the Week: Services Lead Growth as Industry Slows
Ryan Rutkowski — September 19, 2014
Earlier this week China’s National Bureau of Statistics released monthly economic data for August, and at first blush it looked pretty scary. Year-over-year growth in value added industrial output slowed to 6.9 percent in A ...

Policy Brief 14-22 Should Korea Join the Trans-Pacific Partnership? [pdf]
Jeffrey J. Schott and Cathleen Cimino — September 19, 2014
Korea should seek to join the Trans-Pacific Partnership as soon as possible if it can manage its bilateral trade issues with Japan in a pragmatic way.

RealTime Economic Issues Watch Corporate Taxation: Historic Reform Awaits 2017
Gary Clyde Hufbauer — September 19, 2014
In summer of 1975, J. L. Kramer and I published an article in the International Tax Journal entitled "Higher U.S. Taxation Could Prompt Changes in Multinational Corporate Structure." Nearly four decades later, our Delphic predictions may be coming true—evidenced by the widespread p ...

audio Peterson Perspectives Interview Battle to Save the Export-Import Bank
C. Fred Bergsten — September 17, 2014
C. Fred Bergsten explains why the US Export-Import Bank is essential to a successful US trade strategy—and what might be done to limit export subsidies worldwide.

RealTime Economic Issues Watch Rebuttal to Stiglitz on Scotland: Reality of Independence Is Frightening
Adam S. Posen — September 16, 2014
The overwhelming majority of macroeconomists who have commented on the impact of Scotland leaving the United Kingdom have said that the economic costs to Scotland so doing would be very high— ...

Op-ed China's Rise Is a Credit to Private Enterprise Not State Control
Nicholas R. Lardy — September 16, 2014
China's rapid ascent is the result of the expanding role of the market and the rise of private businesses, and policymakers and commentators decrying Beijing's brand of state capitalism risk provoking short-sighted and counterproductive responses.



Charles Evans

Labor Market Slack: Assessing and Addressing in Real Time

Charles Evans, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, delivered the keynote speech at an all-day conference on labor market issues.

Jeffrey J. Schott

Should Korea Join the Trans-Pacific Partnership?

Jeffrey J. Schott and Cathleen Cimino assess Korea's potential objectives and prospects for joining the TPP and review potential pathways forward.

Bruce Stokes

Pew Research Center Study Release of Views of Trade

Bruce Stokes, Pew Research Center, presents the results of a poll of 48,000 people in 44 countries for their subjective views on questions related to global trade.


In a video interview, Nicholas R. Lardy previews a PIIE event on September 10 discussing the conclusions of his latest book published by the Institute, Markets over Mao: The Rise of Private Business in China.

View the event


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