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News Release Renewed Concerns Drag Down the Growth Prospects for Major Advanced Economies
October 2, 2014
WASHINGTON—Economists at the Peterson Institute for International Economics are forecasting a more subdued outlook for the global economy in their fall Global Economic Prospects session. Their economic outlook for the United States and Unite ...

Op-ed Ukraine's Old, Internal Enemy
Anders Aslund — October 2, 2014
The ouster of former president Yanukovych has created an opportunity for Ukraine to confront corruption.

North Korea: Witness to Transformation The Tangled Political Economy of Aid
Marcus Noland — October 2, 2014
The special 20 year waiver that South Korea had obtained as part of the Uruguay Round negotiations that created the World Trade Organization (WTO) is expiring, and the government announced this week it would be opening the country’s rice market in accord with its treaty obligations. The country is n ...

RealTime Economic Issues Watch ECB Sovereign Bond Purchases Remain Unlikely
Jacob Funk Kirkegaard — October 1, 2014
The European Central Bank (ECB) is reportedly on the cusp of another round of euro area sovereign bond purchases. Proponents of such a move say it is necessary if the ECB is to grow its balance sheet by the €750 billion to €1 trillion ...

China Economic Watch Part One of Private Finance in China: Private Banking
Ryan Rutkowski — October 1, 2014
As Nicholas Lardy discussed in Markets Over Mao demonopolization among other reforms can help drive productivity growth in China’s service sector. Banking in China has long been monopolized by the state. However, this is beginning ...

Op-ed The Right Direction for Scotland
Avinash D. Persaud — October 1, 2014
The real reasons not to secede are complicated and subtle. The starting point of course is that, unlike British rule a hundred years ago, the Scots are not oppressed subjects.

Op-ed Let the Bank of England Take Note: The Risks of Raising Interest Rates Too Soon Are Greater than Inflation Overshooting
David G. Blanchflower — September 30, 2014
David G. Blanchflower summarizes Chicago Federal Reserve Bank president Charles Evan's speech on the costs of being mired in the zero lower bound.

News Release C. Fred Bergsten Named Swedish American of the Year
September 29, 2014
Washington—The Peterson Institute for International Economics is pleased to announce that its founding director, C. Fred Bergsten, was named The Swedish American of the Year for 2014. The award was presented by the Vasa Order of America, the ...

China Economic Watch China Chart of the Week: Foreign Investors Flock to Services
Ryan Rutkowski — September 26, 2014
Last week, China’s Ministry of Commerce (MOFCOM) reported that foreign direct investment inflows slowed to $78 billion in the first eight months of this year compared with $80 billion in the same period last year as inflows in August fell to their lowest level in four years. The decline has created ...

audio Peterson Perspectives Interview Why Wage Rates are Stagnating Despite Falling Unemployment
David G. Blanchflower — September 23, 2014
David G. Blanchflower discusses his research with Adam S. Posen demonstrating that lower jobless rates are masking the problem of people outside the official labor force who are still looking for work.

Working Paper 14-6 Wages and Labor Market Slack: Making the Dual Mandate Operational [pdf]
David G. Blanchflower and Adam S. Posen — September 23, 2014
David G. Blanchflower and Adam S. Posen assess the impact of changes in the US labor force participation rate and show that nonparticipants exert additional downward pressure on wages over and above the impact of the unemployment rate itself.

Op-ed Wages Fall as the Mystery of the British and American Job Markets Gets Deeper Still
David G. Blanchflower — September 23, 2014
A combination of increased underemployment and nonparticipation in the labor force is exerting downward wage pressure, resulting in flat real wages in the United States and an 8–10 percent decrease in the United Kingdom since May 2010.

RealTime Economic Issues Watch Ten Lessons from the Scottish Referendum
Jacob Funk Kirkegaard — September 23, 2014
The 55 percent majority that rejected Scottish independence was perhaps not so lopsided as to banish all Scottish nationalist dreams of another vote someday. But it was more decisive than many opinion polls had predicted. At least 10 lessons can be drawn from the process. ...

RealTime Economic Issues Watch Mapping Europe's Banking System: Most Small Banks Are German
Nicolas Véron — September 22, 2014
A well-known limitation of Europe's banking union is the fact that most banks in the euro area will escape the direct supervision of the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Single Resolution Board that will address insolvent banks next year. Indeed, the ECB's ...

China Economic Watch China Chart of the Week: Services Lead Growth as Industry Slows
Ryan Rutkowski — September 19, 2014
Earlier this week China’s National Bureau of Statistics released monthly economic data for August, and at first blush it looked pretty scary. Year-over-year growth in value added industrial output slowed to 6.9 percent in A ...



Charles Evans

Labor Market Slack: Assessing and Addressing in Real Time

Charles Evans, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, delivered the keynote speech at an all-day conference on labor market issues.

Jeffrey J. Schott

Should Korea Join the Trans-Pacific Partnership?

Jeffrey J. Schott and Cathleen Cimino assess Korea's potential objectives and prospects for joining the TPP and review potential pathways forward.

Bruce Stokes

Pew Research Center Study Release of Views of Trade

Bruce Stokes, Pew Research Center, presents the results of a poll of 48,000 people in 44 countries for their subjective views on questions related to global trade.


In a video interview, Nicholas R. Lardy previews a PIIE event on September 10 discussing the conclusions of his latest book published by the Institute, Markets over Mao: The Rise of Private Business in China.

View the event


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